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What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – January 12th, 2026

January 12, 2026 by Kay Monigold

The trade deficit dropped significantly this month, resulting in the smallest gap in the last 16 years. This has been entirely driven by the ongoing gold rush and, to a much less impactful degree, businesses working their way around high tariffs. The unemployment reports, however, have shed another light, showing a steady trend of unemployment rising and reaching a four-year high as of last week.

This is somewhat offset by consumer sentiment, which showed a slightly positive increase alongside relative improvements in the economy. All in all, the data points to mixed results for the broader market. The upcoming week will be a much greater indicator, with all major inflation reports in the PPI and CPI scheduled for release.

Trade Deficit

The U.S. trade deficit plummeted 39% in October to reach the lowest level in 16 years, but the steep drop stemmed from an ongoing gold rush of sorts as well as efforts by businesses to work around high tariffs. The trade gap shrank to $29.4 billion in October from $48.1 billion in September, the government said Thursday. The October report was delayed by the federal shutdown.

Consumer Sentiment

The University of Michigan’s gauge of consumer sentiment rose to 54 in a preliminary January reading from 52.9 in the prior month. This marked the second straight gain and the highest level of sentiment since September. “Consumers perceived some modest improvement in the economy,” the survey found, although sentiment remains nearly 25% below last January’s reading.

Jobs Report

The unemployment rate climbed to a four-year high of 4.6%, according to a mostly tepid November jobs report. The economy lost 105,000 jobs in October and added 64,000 new jobs in November, the government said, with the report skewed by deferred resignations of federal workers.

Primary Mortgage Market Survey Index

  • 15-Year FRM rates saw an increase of 0.02%, with the current rate at 5.46%
  • 30-Year FRM rates saw an increase of 0.01%, with the current rate at 6.16%

MND Rate Index

  • 30-Year FHA rates saw a decrease of -0.16%, with current rates at 5.69%
  • 30-Year VA rates saw a decrease of -0.17%, with current rates at 5.70%

Jobless Claims

Initial claims were reported at 208,000 compared to expected claims of 210,000. The prior week’s total was 200,000.

What’s Ahead

CPI and PPI inflation reports are the major releases for next week, along with the usual employment data.

Filed Under: Financial Reports Tagged With: Financial Report, Jobless Claims, Mortgage Rates

Why Closing Old Credit Accounts Can Hurt Your Mortgage Approval

January 9, 2026 by Kay Monigold

When you are preparing to buy a home, it is natural to want your credit profile to look clean and organized. Many buyers think closing old credit accounts will improve their score, simplify their finances, and make them appear more responsible to lenders. In reality, closing old accounts can have the opposite effect. Those accounts play a much bigger role in your credit profile than most people realize and shutting them down can create sudden changes that impact your mortgage approval.

Understand How Closed Accounts Affect Your Credit History

Your credit history length is a major part of your credit score. Older accounts help build a long, strong payment record, and closing them can shorten your overall history. When you close an account, it eventually stops contributing to your average age of credit. A shorter credit history can lower your score and make your credit profile look less stable, which can affect the rate you receive or your loan approval altogether.

See How Closing Accounts Impacts Your Credit Utilization

Credit utilization is the percentage of available credit you are currently using. When you close an old card with a high limit, your total available credit drops instantly. This makes your utilization ratio go up, even if your spending stays the same. A higher utilization ratio can lower your score, and lenders view it as a sign of financial stress. Keeping older accounts open gives you more available credit and a healthier utilization ratio.

Know Why Lenders Look Closely at Recent Credit Changes

Lenders prefer to see stable, predictable financial behavior. Closing accounts shortly before applying for a mortgage can look risky because it changes your credit profile right before a major purchase. Even if your intentions are good, lenders may worry that you are trying to manage debt abruptly or hide financial strain. Consistency is key, and the fewer sudden changes you make before applying, the better.

Understand the Value of Long-Term On-Time Payments

Old accounts with long histories of on-time payments help strengthen your credit profile. These accounts show lenders that you have managed credit responsibly for years. Closing them removes some of that positive history from your active credit mix. Even if the account stays on your report for a while, the impact weakens over time. Keeping these accounts open preserves your strongest credit advantages.

Avoid Making Changes Right Before a Mortgage Application

A mortgage application is not the time to reset or rearrange your credit accounts. If you want to simplify your finances, it is best to do it after closing on your home. Before applying, avoid closing cards, opening new ones, or making large changes to your credit usage. The goal is to show lenders stability, steady habits, and a well-managed credit profile.

Closing old accounts may seem like a smart cleanup strategy, but it often hurts more than it helps during mortgage approval. By keeping your accounts open, maintaining low balances, and staying consistent, you can protect your score and present a stronger, more stable financial picture when you apply for a home loan.

Filed Under: Home Buyer Tips Tagged With: Credit Health, Home Buying 101, Mortgage Tips

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Our Team

Kay MonigoldKay Monigold
Owner/Mortgage Broker/Residential Mortgage Loan Originator
NMLS#1086176

Steven LoweSteven P Lowe, Sr
Residential Mortgage Loan Originator
NMLS #1085638

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